Greenspan Discusses Risks of DerivativesReading this in the context of the following breakdown of US GDP: 1). 80 % of wealth created by the financial sector, mainly trading with debt instruments; 2). 12 % of wealth generated by the services sector; 3). 6 % of wealth generated by industrial production; Make sense of this thinking of the $ 142 trillion p/a derivatives market, trading of currencies on foreign exchange amounting to $ 1 trillion per day. According to the market fundi this picture is "sustainable" for at least another 10 years before the money balloon leaves for the high heavens! Industrial production is then like the eye of those American "twisters" uprooting employment world wide, with more and more of the 6 % industrial production becoming the basis for "projection of power" (military industrial) - makes one giddy! Berend ================================= Greenspan Discusses Risks of Derivatives By REUTERS CHICAGO, May 8 (Reuters) - The chairman of the Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan, expressed concern today over the risks posed to financial markets by the concentration of the $142 trillion derivatives market in the hands of a few investment banks. Derivatives are contracts based on underlying securities or other variables, ranging from interest rates and currencies to energy and weather. They allow investors both to spread risk and to make big leveraged bets. Mr. Greenspan, as he has done in the past, praised derivatives, saying their benefits materially outweighed the risks and had insulated the financial system from the stock market crash and economic downturn. But, for the first time, in a conference organized by the Chicago Fed, he detailed the potential dangers to financial markets if a big derivatives dealer had to exit the market, and he called for more meaningful disclosure. Mr. Greenspan repeated his opposition to regulating derivatives, but said heavy concentration in the market "gives me and others some pause." "If a major dealer exited and other dealers were unwilling to fill the void, the liquidity of the market likely would be impaired," Mr. Greenspan said. According to the Swiss-based Bank for International Settlements, the global over-the-counter derivatives market had grown to nearly $142 trillion by the end of last year. In his speech, delivered to the conference by satellite, Mr. Greenspan said that a single dealer accounts for about a third of the global market in both interest rate and credit derivatives, and a few dealers account for more than two-thirds. *************** Full speech: www.federalreserve.gov |
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